Academy of Social Sciences: Posts in textile industry may decrease and employment pressure will incr

On December 25, 2018, the Blue Book of Society of 2019 was published by the Scientific Research Bureau of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences and other institutions. It said that because the impact of some developed international trade protectionism on different industrial sectors in China is different, the employment pressure in labor-intensive sectors is greater, including furniture, clothing and electrical appliances manufacturing.



Previously, the total employment in China's industrial sector declined from 99.772 million in December 2014 to 80.585 million in August 2018, with the largest decline in traditional labor-intensive industries.



The textile and garment industry has a great influence < br />.


The decline in employment in China's industrial sector stems from the combination of various factors. From the trend, the decline in 2018 has an accelerating trend compared with that in 2015-2017, which is related to the impact of Sino-US economic and trade frictions.



From the perspective of labor-intensive sectors, more than 30% of China's exports to the United States are concentrated in traditional labor-intensive industries such as toys, furniture, textile and apparel, leather products and electrical equipment manufacturing, and their gross interest rates are low. Labor-intensive enterprises that rely on export tax rebates for survival have little resistance to trade policy fluctuations.



If the United States imposes higher tariffs, these industries may stop exporting to the United States. Moreover, due to the rising cost of land, labor and other factors, the processing trade, which takes OEM as the main mode, is in the international industrial chain of “ up-squeeze-down-rdquo; state, facing a more severe impact, and the resulting industrial migration may lead to serious job losses in China's labor-intensive industries.  



Artificial intelligence will extrude the space of traditional industries such as clothing and textile < br />.


The rapid development of the new round of technological revolution is represented by industrial intelligence, Internet industrialization and industrial integration. The new technological revolution, with artificial intelligence, intelligent manufacturing and new material science as its main part, will reconstruct the links of economic activities such as production, distribution, exchange and consumption, so as to promote industrial transformation and upgrading and promote high-speed economic growth.



The technological revolution will also increase the investment cost of human resources, and the contradiction of skill structure will become more prominent in the short term. The new technological revolution will adjust and optimize the structure of job demand in the human resources market, and the ordinary assembly line staff will be impacted.



With the continuous emergence of new entrances, new models and new interfaces, the original industrial ecology is in the process of fluctuation and deconstruction. Textile and apparel industry Internet as a huge outlet, its trillion market space will inevitably give birth to many unprecedented & ldquo; new positions & rdquo;. Talents are the infrastructure of industrial internet, and the training of new talents is also a top priority. The market of professional training and vocational education will be a new blue sea.  



How to Deal with Unemployment Risk



We should seize the opportunity of new economic development, vigorously develop new industries and new formats, develop a large number of high-quality jobs adapted to the employment orientation of the new generation of labor force, and promote high-quality employment and economic development. At the same time, we should avoid the risk of unemployment caused by instability in the development of new industries and new formats, and prevent some low-level workers from being thrown out of the formal labor market.



As an ordinary person, we can not control the industry adjustment of & ldquo; big trend & rdquo; but in order not to be & ldquo; big trend & rdquo; elimination, in order to survive in the industry, we must seize the opportunities around us & ldquo; small trend & rdquo;.



In a word, the Academy of Social Sciences suggests that we should seize the opportunity of new economic development, vigorously develop new industries and new formats, develop a large number of high-quality jobs adapted to the employment orientation of the new generation of labor force, and promote employment and high-quality economic development. At the same time, we should avoid the risk of unemployment caused by the instability in the development of new industries and new formats, prevent some low-level workers from being thrown out of the formal labor market, and damage the labor rights and health of employees in new forms of employment, which is also an important part of China's employment policy.

Key words: employment in social blue paper textile industry