The nearer the year is, the busier the weaving enterprises are, but the market at the end of the yea

In recent years, PTA has seen a rebound from a low of 5700 yuan/ton to a high of 6600 yuan/ton, with a rebound of more than 15%. In the meantime, the international crude oil surge stimulated the downstream weaving factories to take goods and the polyester filament factories to lose money recently. As a result, the quotation increased steadily, ranging from 100-200 yuan/ton, and the market turnover center steadily increased. The production and sales of polyester factories last week were generally over 8-90%.



But the good days came to an abrupt end at the weekend. From the production and marketing of these two days, the effect seems to be less and less obvious.



Why? In the final analysis, the market of "Nianguan" at weaving end is not optimistic.



Although recently driven by the rising prices of raw materials and the follow-up of seasonal orders at the end of the year, the market start-up rate has improved slightly, overall, the sustainability is not strong, follow-up orders are still insufficient, and manufacturers'enthusiasm for production is limited. It is understood that, with the time approaching the end of recent years, the number of orders on the market is decreasing. In addition, polyester prices have recently risen again, the production capacity of peripheral looms has increased, the market competition has become more intense, and the market has seen the phenomenon of dumping. After December, not only the number of orders is decreasing, but also the profits of grey fabrics are declining.



Nevertheless, the weaving enterprises in Jiangsu and Zhejiang regions are busy in mass transit < br />.


At the end of the year, enterprises are faced with repayment and financial pressure, and are busy concentrating on reminding and clearing bills. Second, in the off-season, if enterprises want to clear inventory, they need to increase sales. Business personnel are also actively running the market and visiting customers, and the preferential prices of the actual transaction prices of products are also enlarged.



Jiang Zexun of Silk Run Textile, the main silk imitation product in Suzhou, said that besides orders, they would also carry out some spot transactions, so when there were no orders for the New Year, they would choose to stock up some finished products, mainly Chiffon products.



Manager Zhang of Wujiang Chunhao Textile Co., Ltd. answered more intuitively. There were no new orders before the Spring Festival. Now it is to complete the orders on hand and withdraw the money. Ye Jindi, manager of Suzhou Linye Textile Co., Ltd., also said that there is nothing on the market now. It's time to prepare for the New Year's receipt.



In addition to receivables and pre-holiday stockpiling, the development of new products in the second year is also the focus of many fabric enterprises. Fujian Longfeng Textile Technology Co., Ltd. is mainly engaged in nylon spinning products. Wang Wuhuan, the manager of Longfeng Textile, said that there are no orders on the market now. The focus of their enterprises at this stage is to develop new products. I hope that next year's opening will be a success.



As can be seen, with the reduction of orders in the market, the main work of cloth owners is to collect money, hoard goods, develop new products, make a good ending for 2018, and make full preparations for the beginning of next year.



Looking forward to the peak season in March next year, but there are too many variables!



At present, textile mills are generally pessimistic about the future market, and think that it is difficult for the market to improve before the end of the year. Next year's market is also considered to be "like fog, like rain and like wind". It is difficult to see clearly. However, some textile mills still hold certain expectations for the market after the beginning of spring. March and April are the traditional peak season, and there is basically a wave of market every year. I hope this year will not be a "default".



Of course, the realization of this "appointment" needs the cooperation of time and place. At present, there are still too many uncertainties.



First, the Sino-US trade war has a greater impact on the downstream textile and apparel exports.



Although the G20 has given China and the United States a 90-day cushion in the trade war and boosted market morale, it may be only a temporary time for space, providing a cushion period for both sides. Whether the two sides can really negotiate depends on whether they reach agreement on a series of issues in the follow-up negotiations. If not, this buffer may become "calm before the storm".



Wujiang Chemical Fiber Weaving Factory produces polyester, nylon and other fabrics. Mr. Li, a salesman of Wujiang Chemical Fiber, told reporters: "On November 30, the heads of state of China and the United States met at the G20 meeting. The trade friction between China and the United States was eased. As one of the major exporters of Chinese fabrics, what agreements can China-US trade finally reach, especially for their large-scale weaving enterprises? Important, therefore, the outcome of the next Sino-US trade negotiations will have a great impact on the market at the beginning of next year.



Second, domestic demand is not optimistic either.



Export orders have problems, and some enterprises try to export to domestic sales, resulting in "unacceptable". Some enterprises say that domestic demand is not better than exports this year. The Sino-US trade war may only be a superficial phenomenon. The overall decline in consumption caused by the macroeconomic downturn is the main reason.



Thirdly, this year's vigorous "environmental protection" policy has also had a great impact on the industry.



On the one hand, enterprises have to invest a lot to achieve environmental protection standards, the original small profit enterprises operating pressure is greater, some small enterprises simply closed down. Second, the capacity of printing and dyeing is limited, which directly affects the demand for textiles.This has resulted in a decline in orders from textile mills.



Fourth, the concentrated outbreak of production capacity of peripheral looms will have a greater impact on the market.



Manager Ma of Yingwu Textile in Suzhou also said, "At the beginning of next year, the pressure on the owners of looms in other places will be greater, because they are expanding their output, and the demand has not been enlarged, so it is easy to lead to an increase in inventory. Because of the large-scale production of peripheral looms, the weaving Market in 2018 has had a tremendous impact. If demand does not improve significantly and a large number of new water-jet looms are put into operation in early 2019, it will be absolutely bad news for the weaving Market in the new year.



Overall, at the end of recent years, the polyester market is booming because of the fluctuation of crude oil and the reduction of polyester filament production. However, in contrast, the weaving Market in the second half of this year was not warm, but now it has become weaker. At this stage, the weaving owner mainly completes the orders on hand, collects the receivables this year, and then carries out the year-end stockpiling in a planned way to develop some new products for next year. As for the next year's market, it is generally believed that the outcome of the Sino-US trade negotiations and the number of looms added outside will be the two main factors determining the first half of next year's market.



In short, the market needs to wait for the time to clear the fog.Hope that textile enterprises can "survive" this winter.